Probability

I was just looking at the weather report (because it is SO COLD!  and it is finally supposed to start raining this week) and saw that on Thursday, there is a 100% chance of rain.

Really?  100%?

I don’t think that is actually statistically possible.  I mean, there isn’t even a 100% chance that the sun will rise tomorrow, so how can they say there is a 100% chance of rain?  99.99999% chance of rain, I have no problem with, but unless is is actually raining right this minute, and you tell me that there is currently a 100% chance of rain for the present moment, 100% is a crap prediction.  BECAUSE YOU NEVER KNOW!

Have none of these weather people taken a flippin’ statistics course??

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